FIGURE 5–14 A Growing Population This graph (from the U.S. Census Bureau, International Database) shows the projected age structure of the world population in 2050. As population numbers climb, cities face various challenges, such as housing. The photo above shows a housing complex in Hong Kong; each apartment building is home to thousands of residents.
Future Population Growth To predict how the world's human population will grow, demographers consider many factors, including the age structure of each country and the effects of diseases on death rates—especially AIDS in Africa and parts of Asia. Current projections suggest that by 2050 the world population will reach 9 billion people. Will the human population level out to a logistic growth curve and become stable? This may happen if countries that are currently growing rapidly complete the demographic transition.
Current data suggest that global human population will grow more slowly over the next 50 years than it grew over the last 50 years. But because the growth rate will still be higher than zero in 2050, our population will continue to grow. In the next chapter, we will examine the effect of human population growth on the biosphere.
Review Describe the general trend of human population growth over time.
Relate Cause and Effect What factors contributed to the pattern of growth shown in Figure 5–11?
Review Why do populations in different countries grow at different rates?
Explain Describe the demographic transition and explain how it could affect a country's population growth rate.
Form an Opinion Are age-structure diagrams useful in predicting future population trends?
VISUAL THINKING
Describe the changes in human population predicted by Figure 5–14. How do you think those changes will affect society?